
2024 Economic Review
Context to 2024 Performance
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Ghana’s macroeconomic performance in 2024 must be viewed in the context of the economic upheavals of the previous 2 years.
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the impact of external shocks (such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war and tightening global financial conditions) worsened Ghana’s pre-existing fiscal and debt vulnerabilities. Unfortunately, the government’s fiscal policy response was insufficient to maintain investor confidence in the economy. This resulted in the loss of access to the international capital market in late 2021, restricted domestic financing and reliance on Bank of Ghana financing. Between 2022 and 2023, the economy was in crisis reflecting in debt distress, dwindling international reserves and high inflation as indicated below:
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IMF Programme
In July 2022, the government approached the IMF for a 3-year arrangement backed by USD 3 billion under the existing extended credit facility (the ECF Arrangement). The IMF approved the request in May 2023. The key policies under the ECF Arrangement (which aims to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability) include:
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fiscal consolidation supported by structural reforms in respect of tax policy, revenue administration, and public financial management and addressing weaknesses in the energy and cocoa sectors
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tight monetary and flexible exchange rate policies to bring inflation back to single digits and rebuild international reserves
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preserving financial stability
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reforms to encourage private investment and growth (including by improving governance, transparency and public sector efficiency)
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According to the IMF, Ghana’s balance-of-payments gap for 2023 to 2026 is about USD 14 billion. The gap is expected to be financed as follows:
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On domestic debt, the government launched a domestic debt exchange programme (DDEP) in early December 2022 asking holders of its debt instruments (issued locally but excluding treasury bills), debt instruments issued by ESLA Plc and Daakye Trust Plc, cocoa bills and Bank of Ghana non-marketable instruments, to swap them for lower-coupon and longer maturity bonds. The DDEP was completed in 2023.
On external debt, the government declared a moratorium on its international debt and further technically defaulted in February 2023. Since then, the government has undertaken the following:
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G20 common framework debt treatment – in June 2024, Ghana and its creditors in the G20 countries and the Paris Club (under the G20 common framework for debt treatment) formalised the terms of a debt treatment in a memorandum of understanding. The debt treatment provides a full debt service relief (over the ECF Arrangement period) from all bilateral claims committed and disbursed before December 2022. The rescheduled debt service will be capitalised and accrue additional interest rate until repayment in years 16 and 17 after the original due date. The terms of the debt treatment will be implemented through bilateral agreements expected to be signed by June 2025 with each creditor;
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Eurobond debt restructuring – Ghana completed the restructuring of USD 13 billion Eurobonds in October 2024. Most bondholders received new bonds maturing in 2029 and 2035, with nominal haircut and increased coupon rate. Others opted for bonds maturing in 2037, with no haircut but a lower coupon rate. All bondholders received a downpayment bond maturing in 2026 and a post-default interest bond maturing in 2030; and
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Other commercial creditor debt restructuring – the government is negotiating a debt restructuring agreement with its residual external commercial creditors.
Debt Restructuring
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The economy showed modest recovery in 2024, largely due to the technical guidance provided (and the implementation of policies and reforms) under the ECF Arrangement. The disbursement of an aggregate of USD 1.92 billion, debt restructuring, and debt service relief under the ECF Arrangement unlocked further financial support and created much needed fiscal space.
There was significant growth across various sectors. Economic reports indicate that GDP grew by 6.2% by the third quarter of 2024 (2.6% for the same period in 2023), exceeding the projected 4%. The key drivers for the growth were the industry (including oil and gas, mining and construction), services and agriculture sectors.
Inflation in 2024 (23% by November 2024) was relatively lower than in 2022 and 2023. To manage inflation, the Bank of Ghana held the monetary policy rate at 27% for the last quarter of 2024 (a reduction from 29% for the previous 3 quarters).
The GHS continued to depreciate but at a lower rate than 2022 and 2023, (a depreciation rate of 22.7% by December 2024).
The 2024 budget and economic policy indicated that the fiscal deficit narrowed to 4.8% of GDP, down from 11.8% in 2022, reflecting improved revenue mobilisation and stricter expenditure controls. According to the Bank of Ghana, Ghana's total public debt stood at GHS 736.9 billion, representing 72.2% of GDP by November of 2024.
The external sector also recorded marked improvements. The Bank of Ghana indicates in in its summary of economic and financial data (January 2025) that Ghana’s trade balance showed a surplus of USD 4.98 billion by December 2024, driven by strong export performance. Trade surplus accounted for 5.9% of GDP. Gold exports generated USD 20.22 billion, while cocoa exports brought in USD 11.64 billion, buoyed by favourable global commodity prices and an increase in demand for gold. This improved export performance strengthened Ghana's external position. Gross international reserves increased to USD 6.4 billion, providing 2.9 months of import cover.
Despite these positive signals, the macroeconomic environment remains fragile. Inflationary pressures, currency volatility, and the burden of debt repayment obligations still present ongoing challenges. The IMF has indicated that Ghana is still at high risk of debt distress due to imminent breaches of the IMF’s debt sustainability analysis thresholds but Ghana is expected to reach moderate risk of debt distress in the medium term since all debt sustainability targets will be met by 2028.
2024 Performance
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